Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.02.071 |
Proposing a more comprehensive future total cost of ownership estimation framework for electric vehicles | |
van Velzen, Arjan1; Annema, Jan Anne2; van de Kaa, Geerten2; van Wee, Bert2 | |
2019-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
![]() |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 129页码:1034-1046 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands |
英文摘要 | Different scholars have tried to forecast the total cost of ownership (TCO) of electric vehicles (EVs). These studies use different implicit assumptions. This research aims to develop a more comprehensive EV TCO forecasting framework based on a combination of literature review and interviews. The main finding is a framework of 34 factors that influence the future TCO of EVs. By using scenarios, we noticed that the 'profit margin' factor seems to be underestimated in current TCO literature. Assuming that in the years to come EV producers want to recoup their investments, we showed that even in a future with much learning and scale effects this does not imply that the TCO of a specific EV will become much lower compared to the TCO of a comparable internal combustion engine vehicle (ICEV). For policymakers this implies that if they want to stimulate the use of EVs they might also need to put policies (e.g. tax policies) in place to increase the TCO of ICEVs. Another policy implication of our analysis is that EV stimulating policies seem to require a long-term effort. EV manufacturers and dealers might be tempted (or even 'forced' by shareholders) to increase EV prices rather quickly. |
英文关键词 | Electric vehicles Total cost of ownership Technology selection |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000468012900095 |
WOS关键词 | TECHNOLOGY SUCCESS ; LEARNING RATES ; PERFORMANCE ; COMPETITION ; BATTERIES ; DYNAMICS ; STANDARD ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183584 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.ENGIE Serv Nederland NV, Bunnik, Netherlands; 2.Delft Univ Technol, Delft, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | van Velzen, Arjan,Annema, Jan Anne,van de Kaa, Geerten,et al. Proposing a more comprehensive future total cost of ownership estimation framework for electric vehicles[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,129:1034-1046. |
APA | van Velzen, Arjan,Annema, Jan Anne,van de Kaa, Geerten,&van Wee, Bert.(2019).Proposing a more comprehensive future total cost of ownership estimation framework for electric vehicles.ENERGY POLICY,129,1034-1046. |
MLA | van Velzen, Arjan,et al."Proposing a more comprehensive future total cost of ownership estimation framework for electric vehicles".ENERGY POLICY 129(2019):1034-1046. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论