GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1029/2019GL082482
An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts
Palerme, Cyril; Mueller, Malte; Melsom, Arne
2019-05-16
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2019
卷号46期号:9页码:4757-4763
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Norway
英文摘要

With the improving skill of sea ice forecasts, verification methods are becoming increasingly important to inform model developers and users. In this study, the Modified Hausdorff Distance (MHD), the Spatial Probability Score (SPS), and a variation of the SPS are compared in order to assess their performances for evaluating the ice edge position in the new European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts seasonal forecasts (SEAS5). On average, the SEAS5 forecasts outperform a climatological reference during about 3 weeks using the MHD, and during about 5 weeks using the SPS. Furthermore, our results show that the MHD is more sensitive than the SPS to the presence of isolated sea ice patches. Moreover, the variation of the SPS introduced here is not seasonally dependent (contrary to the original SPS) and can be interpreted as a distance error of the ice edge position, which is a potentially relevant information for end users.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000468869500023
WOS关键词HAUSDORFF DISTANCE ; SKILL
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
被引频次:15[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183259
专题气候变化
作者单位Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Oslo, Norway
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Palerme, Cyril,Mueller, Malte,Melsom, Arne. An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(9):4757-4763.
APA Palerme, Cyril,Mueller, Malte,&Melsom, Arne.(2019).An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(9),4757-4763.
MLA Palerme, Cyril,et al."An Intercomparison of Verification Scores for Evaluating the Sea Ice Edge Position in Seasonal Forecasts".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.9(2019):4757-4763.
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