GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2016.10.023
Energy system impacts and policy implications of the European Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and low-carbon pathway to 2050
Fragkos, Panagiotis; Tasios, Nikos; Paroussos, Leonidas; Capros, Pantelis; Tsani, Stella
2017
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号100
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Greece
英文摘要

In March 2015 the European Union (EU) submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) in view of the Paris Conference of Parties (COP21). The binding target of lowering domestic greenhouse gases emissions by at least 40% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels, coupled with long-term decarbonisation goals, will have profound energy system, macroeconomic and policy implications. EU targets are qualitatively discussed and quantitatively assessed with the simulation of a Reference and an alternative decarbonisation scenario to 2050. Simulations are carried out with the technology-rich PRIMES energy-system model and the GEM-E3 Computable General Equilibrium model. Restructuring of the EU energy system induces changes in the energy mix and production with small effects on the EU GDP, 0.4% in 2030 and 1% in 2050 compared to the Reference scenario. Energy efficiency improvements, increasing penetration of renewables, fuel switching towards natural gas, and technical progress in process related to emissions abatement are identified as essential options to the EU INDC implementation. The electrification of final energy demand, particularly transport electrification, complemented with decarbonised power supply is found to play a critical role in the successful transition towards a low-carbon economy by 2050.


英文关键词Intended Nationally Determined Contributions EU decarbonisation Climate policy Climate change mitigation Energy policy
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000391903900021
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; KYOTO PROTOCOL ; COPENHAGEN PLEDGES ; DECARBONISATION ; CANADA
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18239
专题气候变化
作者单位Natl Tech Univ Athens, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Lab E3M, 9 Iroon Politech St,Zografou Campus, GR-15773 Athens, Greece
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Fragkos, Panagiotis,Tasios, Nikos,Paroussos, Leonidas,et al. Energy system impacts and policy implications of the European Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and low-carbon pathway to 2050[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,100.
APA Fragkos, Panagiotis,Tasios, Nikos,Paroussos, Leonidas,Capros, Pantelis,&Tsani, Stella.(2017).Energy system impacts and policy implications of the European Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and low-carbon pathway to 2050.ENERGY POLICY,100.
MLA Fragkos, Panagiotis,et al."Energy system impacts and policy implications of the European Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and low-carbon pathway to 2050".ENERGY POLICY 100(2017).
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