Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.015 |
Time to get ready: Conceptualizing the temporal and spatial dynamics of formative phases for energy technologies | |
Bento, Nuno1,2; Wilson, Charlie3,4; Anadon, Laura Diaz5 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 119页码:282-293 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Portugal; USA; England; Austria |
英文摘要 | Implementing the Paris agreement to prevent dangerous climate change requires energy system transformation and rapid diffusion of low-carbon innovations. In this paper we investigate both the temporal and spatial dynamics of formative phases by which energy technologies prepare for growth. Drawing on a review of diverse literatures, we offer a definition of the formative phase which clarifies its scope and duration, and identifies its main technological and economic determinants. We use parametric hazard models to assess the relative strengths of these determinants on formative phase durations for a sample of 15 energy technologies diffusing over time in their respective initial markets. We find that substitutability has stronger effects in accelerating the end of formative phases than installed capacity and prices. We extend our analysis using nonparametric models to analyze the spatial diffusion of formative phase durations from initial to follower markets. We find that formative phase durations are long outside initial markets as well, showing only signs of acceleration in latecomer regions. Our results imply risks for policies trying to accelerate the diffusion of large innovations without ready markets in both initial and follower markets. |
英文关键词 | Energy technology Innovation system Formative phase Space Hazard model |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000439671200026 |
WOS关键词 | INNOVATION SYSTEMS ; SUSTAINABILITY TRANSITIONS ; INTERNATIONAL TAKEOFF ; DOMINANT DESIGNS ; LIFE-CYCLES ; WIND ENERGY ; DIFFUSION ; POLICY ; MOBILIZATION ; INDUSTRIES |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18206 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Inst Univ Lisboa ISCTE IUL, DINAMIA CET, Ave Forcas Armadas,Edificio ISCTE,Sala 2N19, P-1649026 Lisbon, Portugal; 2.Harvard Kennedy Sch, Belfer Ctr Sci & Int Affairs, 79 JFK St, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA; 3.UEA, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England; 4.IIASA, Schlosspl 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria; 5.Univ Cambridge, Dept Land Econ, Ctr Environm Energy & Nat Resource Governance, Cambridge CB3 9EP, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bento, Nuno,Wilson, Charlie,Anadon, Laura Diaz. Time to get ready: Conceptualizing the temporal and spatial dynamics of formative phases for energy technologies[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,119:282-293. |
APA | Bento, Nuno,Wilson, Charlie,&Anadon, Laura Diaz.(2018).Time to get ready: Conceptualizing the temporal and spatial dynamics of formative phases for energy technologies.ENERGY POLICY,119,282-293. |
MLA | Bento, Nuno,et al."Time to get ready: Conceptualizing the temporal and spatial dynamics of formative phases for energy technologies".ENERGY POLICY 119(2018):282-293. |
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