Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.045 |
From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning | |
Handayani, Kamia1,2; Krozer, Yoram1; Filatova, Tatiana1,3 | |
2019-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 127页码:134-146 |
文章类型 | Article;Proceedings Paper |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands; Indonesia; Australia |
英文摘要 | This study analyses a diffusion of renewable energy in an electricity system accounting for technological learning. We explore long-term scenarios for capacity expansion of the Java-Bali electricity system in Indonesia, considering the country's renewable energy targets. We apply the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model with an integration of technological learning. Our results reveal that, at the medium and high pace of technological learning, the total costs of electricity production to achieve the long-term renewable energy target are 4-10% lower than the scenario without considering technological learning. With respect to technology, solar PV and wind become competitive with other types of renewables and nuclear. Moreover, the fulfilment of the renewable energy targets decreases CO2 emissions by 25% compared to the reference scenario. Implications of our results indicate that energy policies should focus on the early deployment of renewables, upgrading the grid capacity to accommodate variable renewable energy, and enabling faster local learning. |
英文关键词 | Renewable energy Technological learning LEAP Climate change mitigation Indonesia |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI ; ISSHP ; ISTP |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000463688200014 |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY ; GENERATION ; MITIGATION ; RATES ; FUTURE ; SYSTEM ; SECTOR |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181967 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Twente, Dept Governance & Technol Sustainabil, POB 217, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands; 2.PT PLN Persero, Jl Trunojoyo Blok MI-135 Kebayoran Baru, Jakarta, Indonesia; 3.Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Informat Syst & Modelling, POB 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Handayani, Kamia,Krozer, Yoram,Filatova, Tatiana. From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019,127:134-146. |
APA | Handayani, Kamia,Krozer, Yoram,&Filatova, Tatiana.(2019).From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning.ENERGY POLICY,127,134-146. |
MLA | Handayani, Kamia,et al."From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning".ENERGY POLICY 127(2019):134-146. |
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