GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4432-8
Comparison of methods for extracting annual cycle with changing amplitude in climate series
Deng, Qimin; Fu, Zuntao
2019-04-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号52页码:5059-5070
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
英文摘要

Extracting annual cycle properly from climate series is important in the study of annual cycle and anomaly series. However, the extracting approaches are various and may lead to inconsistent results. Since the real annual cycle is unknown in observed records, the reliability and applicability of them are hard to estimate. In this study, five popular decomposition methods used to extract annual cycle in climate series are evaluated through idealized numerical experiments for the first time; i.e., fitting sinusoids, complex demodulation, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), nonlinear mode decomposition (NMD) and seasonal trend decomposition procedure based on loess (STL). Their performances are examined by comparing the extracted annual cycles and its amplitude with the preset one. The annual cycles are set with three different changing amplitudes: constant, linear increasing and nonlinearly varying; superposed with fluctuations of different long-term persistence (LTP) strength. Results indicate that (1) NMD performs best in depicting annual cycle and obtaining its amplitude change; (2) fitting sinusoids, complex demodulation and EEMD methods are more sensitive to LTP strength of superimposed fluctuations, which leads to over-fitted annual cycles and noisy amplitude changes, oppositely, the STL are less responsive to the variation of annual cycle; (3) when overall long-time trend of annual cycle change is the main concern, all of these methods performed well. However, over short time scales, the errors on account of noise and LTP are common in the first three methods and STL is too rough to give the details of amplitude change. Those results are also verified by applying them to observed records and the case with both amplitude and phase change.


英文关键词Annual cycle Fitting sinusoids Complex demodulation Ensemble empirical mode decomposition Nonlinear mode decomposition and seasonal trend decomposition procedure based on loess Amplitude trend
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000467187600070
WOS关键词EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION ; MODULATED ANNUAL CYCLE ; SEASONAL CYCLE ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; CHINA ; PHASE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181940
专题气候变化
作者单位Peking Univ, Lab Climate & Ocean Atmosphere Studies, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Sch Phys, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China
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GB/T 7714
Deng, Qimin,Fu, Zuntao. Comparison of methods for extracting annual cycle with changing amplitude in climate series[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:5059-5070.
APA Deng, Qimin,&Fu, Zuntao.(2019).Comparison of methods for extracting annual cycle with changing amplitude in climate series.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,5059-5070.
MLA Deng, Qimin,et al."Comparison of methods for extracting annual cycle with changing amplitude in climate series".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):5059-5070.
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