GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4386-x
The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America
Garfinkel, Chaim I.1; Weinberger, Israel1; White, Ian P.1; Oman, Luke D.2; Aquila, Valentina3; Lim, Young-Kwon4,5
2019-04-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号52页码:4429-4446
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Israel; USA
英文摘要

The prominence of nonlinearities in the response to El Nino as compared to La Nina, to moderate El Nino events as compared to extreme El Ninno events, and to different flavors of El Nino events, are analyzed using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry-Climate Model. In the Central North Pacific region where the sea level pressure response to El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) peaks, nonlinearities are relatively muted. In contrast, changes to the east of this region (i.e. the far-Northeastern Pacific) and to the north of this region (over Alaska) in response to different ENSO phases are more clearly nonlinear, and become statistically robust after more than 15 events are considered. The relative prominence of these nonlinearities is related to the zonal wavenumber of the tropical precipitation response. Associated with these nonlinearities over the far-Northeastern Pacific are nonlinearities in precipitation over Western United States and surface temperature over Northwest North America and Midwestern United States. In all regions at least 15 events of each type are necessary before nonlinearities can be identified as statistically significant at the 95% confidence level due to the presence of internal atmospheric variability. As there have only been a similar number of ENSO events to the total needed for significance since 1920, it is not surprising that it has been difficult to establish statistically significant nonlinearities using observational data.


英文关键词Central Pacific ENSO ENSO Teleconnections Nonlinearities
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000467187600035
WOS关键词SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; EL ; PRECIPITATION ; TELECONNECTIONS ; STRATOSPHERE ; ANOMALIES ; ENSEMBLE ; IMPACT
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181905
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Hebrew Univ Jerusalem, Fredy & Nadine Herrmann Inst Earth Sci, Jerusalem, Israel;
2.NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA;
3.Amer Univ, Washington, DC 20016 USA;
4.NASA, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Greenbelt, MD USA;
5.Goddard Earth Sci Technol & Res GESTAR IM Syst Gr, Greenbelt, MD USA
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GB/T 7714
Garfinkel, Chaim I.,Weinberger, Israel,White, Ian P.,et al. The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:4429-4446.
APA Garfinkel, Chaim I.,Weinberger, Israel,White, Ian P.,Oman, Luke D.,Aquila, Valentina,&Lim, Young-Kwon.(2019).The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,4429-4446.
MLA Garfinkel, Chaim I.,et al."The salience of nonlinearities in the boreal winter response to ENSO: North Pacific and North America".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):4429-4446.
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