GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4362-5
Modelling the precipitation response over southern Africa to the 2009-2010 El Nino using a stretched grid global atmospheric model
Driver, P.; Abiodun, B.; Reason, C. J. C.
2019-04-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号52页码:3929-3949
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家South Africa
英文摘要

The 2009-2010 El Nino event was a moderately strong Central Pacific type ENSO and, as such, expected to lead to a substantial drought over southern Africa during austral summer. However, many parts of the region experienced average to well above average rainfall during this season. Given that seasonal forecasting skill tends only to be good during ENSO seasons and many parts of the sub-continent rely on rain-fed agriculture, understanding why the rainfall was so anomalous during this El Nino event is important. To this end, a global stretched grid atmospheric general circulation model with relatively high horizontal resolution of 0.5 degrees x0.5 degrees is applied over the region with observed and idealised SST forcing. In the latter experiments, SSTs are kept as observed over one ocean basin (e.g. Pacific) and as climatology over the other two basins (e.g. Atlantic, Indian), or as climatology over one basin and as observed over the other two basins in order to help understand which of these three basins may have contributed most to the observed rainfall anomalies in summer 2009-2010. It is found that Pacific Ocean forcing contributed to the summer rainfall anomalies over most regions of southern Africa with the Atlantic acting to oppose the effects of the Pacific. However, over Mozambique, and to some extent Zimbabwe, the Indian Ocean was more important with the Atlantic again acting in opposition. The increased rainfall over most of southern Africa appears mainly due to a stronger Angola Low circulation system and to anomalously strong moisture flux from the tropical western Indian Ocean and, to lesser extent, the tropical South East Atlantic Ocean.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000467187600010
WOS关键词SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; WATER-VAPOR TRANSPORT ; SUMMER RAINFALL ; TROPICAL ATLANTIC ; DRY SUMMERS ; PART I ; CIRCULATION ; EVENTS ; VARIABILITY ; CLIMATE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181880
专题气候变化
作者单位Univ Cape Town, Dept Oceanog, Cape Town, South Africa
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Driver, P.,Abiodun, B.,Reason, C. J. C.. Modelling the precipitation response over southern Africa to the 2009-2010 El Nino using a stretched grid global atmospheric model[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:3929-3949.
APA Driver, P.,Abiodun, B.,&Reason, C. J. C..(2019).Modelling the precipitation response over southern Africa to the 2009-2010 El Nino using a stretched grid global atmospheric model.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,3929-3949.
MLA Driver, P.,et al."Modelling the precipitation response over southern Africa to the 2009-2010 El Nino using a stretched grid global atmospheric model".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):3929-3949.
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