Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.046 |
CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry: A scenario analysis using system dynamics model | |
Li, Qiang1; Zhang, Wenjuan1; Li, Huiquan1,2; He, Peng1 | |
2017-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 105 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | China announced its promise on CO2 emission peak. When and what level of CO2 emission peak China's primary aluminum industry will reach is in suspense. In this paper, a system dynamic model is established, with five subsystems of economy development, primary aluminum production, secondary aluminum production, CO2 emission intensity and policies making involved. The model is applied to examine potential CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry in next fifteen years with three scenarios of "no new policies", "13th fiveyear plan" and "additional policies". Simulation results imply that: merely relying on rapid expansion of domestic scarps recycling and reuse could not mitigate CO2 emission continuously. Combination of energy saving technology application and electrolytic technology innovation, as well as promoting hydropower utilization in primary aluminum industry are necessary for long term low-carbon development. From a global prospective, enhancing international cooperation on new primary aluminum capacity construction in other countries, especially with rich low-carbon energy, could bring about essential CO2 emission for both China's and global primary aluminum industry. |
英文关键词 | Primary aluminum industry CO2 emission System dynamics Scenario analysis |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000400532900022 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; CEMENT INDUSTRY ; POLICY ; MITIGATION |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18180 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Proc Engn Natl Engn, Lab Hydromet Cleaner Prod Technol, Key Lab Green Proc & Engn, 1 2nd North St, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Chem & Chem Engn, Beijing 100149, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Qiang,Zhang, Wenjuan,Li, Huiquan,et al. CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry: A scenario analysis using system dynamics model[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,105. |
APA | Li, Qiang,Zhang, Wenjuan,Li, Huiquan,&He, Peng.(2017).CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry: A scenario analysis using system dynamics model.ENERGY POLICY,105. |
MLA | Li, Qiang,et al."CO2 emission trends of China's primary aluminum industry: A scenario analysis using system dynamics model".ENERGY POLICY 105(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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