Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018GL081397 |
Natural Climate Oscillations may Counteract Red Sea Warming Over the Coming Decades | |
Krokos, George1; Papadopoulos, Vassilis P.2; Sofianos, Sarantis S.3; Ombao, Hernando4; Dybczak, Patryk4; Hoteit, Ibrahim1 | |
2019-03-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
![]() |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 46期号:6页码:3454-3461 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Saudi Arabia; Greece |
英文摘要 | Recent reports of warming trends in the Red Sea raise concerns about the response of the basin's fragile ecosystem under an increasingly warming climate. Using a variety of available Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data sets, we investigate the evolution of Red Sea SST in relation to natural climate variability. Analysis of long-term SST data sets reveals a sequence of alternating positive and negative trends, with similar amplitudes and a periodicity of nearly 70years associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. High warming rates reported recently appear to be a combined effect of global warming and a positive phase of natural SST oscillations. Over the next decades, the SST trend in the Red Sea purely related to global warming is expected to be counteracted by the cooling Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation phase. Regardless of the current positive trends, projections incorporating long-term natural oscillations suggest a possible decreasing effect on SST in the near future. Plain Language Summary The recent warming trend of the Red Sea SST is critical for the fragile basin's ecosystem, especially for its precious coral reef community. Several studies based on satellite-era data sets recently reported warming rates that can rapidly alter the environmental status of the Red Sea in the near future. We show that the long-term variation of the SST over the Red Sea is influenced by a natural oscillation related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Satellite-era data sets coincide with a positive phase of this oscillation and the associated SST trend is overstated compared to the real, long term trend. As Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation currently shifts from positive to negative phase, the Red Sea SST is expected to shift into a cooling phase during the next decades. |
英文关键词 | Red Sea SST AMO trends projection climate |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000464650400048 |
WOS关键词 | SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; MULTIDECADAL VARIABILITY ; HEAT FLUXES ; CIRCULATION ; PACEMAKER ; CORALS ; TRENDS |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181795 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Phys Sci & Engn Div, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia; 2.Hellen Ctr Marine Res, Anavissos, Greece; 3.Univ Athens, Div Environm Phys, Athens, Greece; 4.King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Computat Elect & Math Sci & Engn, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Krokos, George,Papadopoulos, Vassilis P.,Sofianos, Sarantis S.,et al. Natural Climate Oscillations may Counteract Red Sea Warming Over the Coming Decades[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(6):3454-3461. |
APA | Krokos, George,Papadopoulos, Vassilis P.,Sofianos, Sarantis S.,Ombao, Hernando,Dybczak, Patryk,&Hoteit, Ibrahim.(2019).Natural Climate Oscillations may Counteract Red Sea Warming Over the Coming Decades.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(6),3454-3461. |
MLA | Krokos, George,et al."Natural Climate Oscillations may Counteract Red Sea Warming Over the Coming Decades".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.6(2019):3454-3461. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论