Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2336-6 |
Compounding effects of human activities and climatic changes on surface water availability in Iran | |
Ashraf, Samaneh1,2; AghaKouchak, Amir1; Nazemi, Ali3; Mirchi, Ali4; Sadegh, Mojtaba5; Moftakhari, Hamed R.1,6; Hassanzadeh, Elmira7; Miao, Chi-Yuan8; Madani, Kaveh9,10; Baygi, Mohammad Mousavi2; Anjileli, Hassan1; Arab, Davood Reza11; Norouzi, Hamid12; Mazdiyasni, Omid1; Azarderakhsh, Marzi13; Alborzi, Aneseh1; Tourian, Mohammad J.14; Mehran, Ali15; Farahmand, Alireza16; Mallakpour, Iman1 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 152页码:379-391 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Iran; Canada; Peoples R China; England; Sweden; Germany |
英文摘要 | By combining long-term ground-based data on water withdrawal with climate model projections, this study quantifies the compounding effects of human activities and climate change on surface water availability in Iran over the twenty-first century. Our findings show that increasing water withdrawal in Iran, due to population growth and increased agricultural activities, has been the main source of historical water stress. Increased levels of water stress across Iran are expected to continue or even worsen over the next decades due to projected variability and change in precipitation combined with heightened water withdrawals due to increasing population and socio-economic activities. The greatest rate of decreased water storage is expected in the Urmia Basin, northwest of Iran, (varying from -8.3mm/year in 2010-2039 to -61.6mm/year in 2070-2099 compared with an observed rate of 4mm/year in 1976-2005). Human activities, however, strongly dominate the effects of precipitation variability and change. Major shifts toward sustainable land and water management are needed to reduce the impacts of water scarcity in the future, particularly in Iran's heavily stressed basins like Urmia Basin, which feeds the shrinking Lake Urmia. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000462907000005 |
WOS关键词 | EARTH SYSTEM MODELS ; RESOURCE MANAGEMENT ; DROUGHT ; SECURITY ; CMIP5 ; REPRESENTATION ; VULNERABILITY ; CONSTRAINTS ; CHALLENGES ; INCLUSION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181484 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; 2.Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Mashhad, Razavi Khorasan, Iran; 3.Concordia Univ, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 4.Oklahoma State Univ, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA; 5.Boise State Univ, Boise, ID 83725 USA; 6.Univ Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL USA; 7.Polytech Montreal, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 8.Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing, Peoples R China; 9.Imperial Coll London, London, England; 10.Stockholm Univ, Stockholm, Sweden; 11.Rahbord Danesh Pooya Inst, Tehran, Iran; 12.CUNY, New York, NY 10021 USA; 13.Fairleigh Dickinson Univ, Teaneck, NJ USA; 14.Univ Stuttgart, Stuttgart, Germany; 15.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA USA; 16.NASA, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ashraf, Samaneh,AghaKouchak, Amir,Nazemi, Ali,et al. Compounding effects of human activities and climatic changes on surface water availability in Iran[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019,152:379-391. |
APA | Ashraf, Samaneh.,AghaKouchak, Amir.,Nazemi, Ali.,Mirchi, Ali.,Sadegh, Mojtaba.,...&Mallakpour, Iman.(2019).Compounding effects of human activities and climatic changes on surface water availability in Iran.CLIMATIC CHANGE,152,379-391. |
MLA | Ashraf, Samaneh,et al."Compounding effects of human activities and climatic changes on surface water availability in Iran".CLIMATIC CHANGE 152(2019):379-391. |
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