GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4344-7
Classifications of winter atmospheric circulation patterns: validation of CMIP5 GCMs over Europe and the North Atlantic
Stryhal, Jan1,2; Huth, Radan1,2
2019-03-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号52页码:3575-3598
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Czech Republic
英文摘要

Winter atmospheric circulation over the Euro-Atlantic domain and three subdomains (British Isles, Central Europe, and Eastern Mediterranean) is validated in outputs of historical runs of 32 global climate models (GCMs) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). Eight automated classifications of daily SLP patterns from five reanalysis datasets are produced for each domain in order to analyse the effect of the choices of methods and reference data on results. The results show that the ranking of GCMs fundamentally depends on which classification is used; therefore, only parallel usage of multiple classifications can provide robust rankings of models. Considering all eight classifications, three models (HadGEM2-CC, MIROC4h, and CNRM-CM5) are among the best in simulating the frequency of circulation types (CTs) over all four domains. Regardless the domain, the bias in CT frequency of the worst GCMs is larger than 50% of the frequency in the reference reanalysis dataset. Conversely, the best GCM for each domain differs from the reference reanalysis by about 10-20%, which is nearly the same result as found for the NOAA-CIRES Twentieth Century Reanalysis (version 2). The persistence of circulation is simulated better than the frequency with errors rarely exceeding 15%. The GCMs overestimate the frequency of westerly circulation over all domains (by about 7% over the British Isles, 21% over Central Europe, and almost 70% over the Eastern Mediterranean) and also cyclonic CTs, while easterly and anticyclonic CTs are typically underestimated by 30-40%.


英文关键词Global climate models Validation Atmospheric circulation Circulation classifications
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000463842700060
WOS关键词SYNOPTICALLY FORCED HYDROCLIMATOLOGY ; MAJOR ARCTIC WATERSHEDS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PRESSURE PATTERNS ; NCEP/NCAR REANALYSIS ; WEATHER PATTERNS ; POLAR-REGIONS ; PART 1 ; MODELS ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181469
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Charles Univ Prague, Fac Sci, Dept Phys Geog & Geoecol, Albertov 6, Prague 12843 2, Czech Republic;
2.Czech Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Bocni 2, Prague 14131 4, Czech Republic
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Stryhal, Jan,Huth, Radan. Classifications of winter atmospheric circulation patterns: validation of CMIP5 GCMs over Europe and the North Atlantic[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:3575-3598.
APA Stryhal, Jan,&Huth, Radan.(2019).Classifications of winter atmospheric circulation patterns: validation of CMIP5 GCMs over Europe and the North Atlantic.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,3575-3598.
MLA Stryhal, Jan,et al."Classifications of winter atmospheric circulation patterns: validation of CMIP5 GCMs over Europe and the North Atlantic".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):3575-3598.
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