Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4410-1 |
Simulating evaluation and projection of the climate zones over China by CMIP5 models | |
He, Wen-ping1,2; Zhao, Shan-shan1,2; Wu, Qiong3; Jiang, Yun-di1; Wan, Shiquan4 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS |
ISSN | 0930-7575 |
EISSN | 1432-0894 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 52页码:2597-2612 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | On the basis of climate zones classified by the number of days of the daily average temperature10 degrees C (DT10) over China, the performance of the 9 CMIP5 climate models is evaluated in this paper. The results indicate that the CMCC-CMS and MPI-ESM-MR show higher skill than the other 7 models in simulating spatial pattern and its decadal change of climate zones over China. The simulation results for FGOALS-g2 and INM-CM4 both show relatively lower skill than the other 7 models. Meanwhile, the performance of multi-model ensemble in simulating climate zones over China is obviously better than the simulated result of any single model. So, it is a good way to simulate climate zones by multi-model ensemble to reduce some uncertainty of climate models. However, it is crucial to select appropriate ensemble members. Compared with 1960-2005, the climatic zones in China have an obvious trend of northward shift in 2021-2100. The range of southern sub-tropical belt expands to the most areas in the south of Yangtze River under RCP4.5 emission scenarios, and further extends to the north areas of Yangtze River with a maximum of 2-6 degrees of latitude under RCP8.5 emission scenarios. Middle sub-tropical belt shifts gradually to the areas between Yellow River and north areas of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Northern sub-tropical belt shifts northward to southeastern North China. Warm extra-tropical belt extends to the most of Northeast China, most of central Inner Mongolia, and northern Xinjiang under RCP8.5 emission scenarios. |
英文关键词 | Climate zone CMIP5 Evaluation of climate model Projection DT10 |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000463842700006 |
WOS关键词 | ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; NORTHWARD-SHIFT ; TEMPERATURE ; CLASSIFICATION ; TRENDS ; BELTS ; ONSET |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181415 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmosphere Phys, LAGEO, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China; 4.Yangzhou Meteorol Bur Jiangsu Prov, Yangzhou 225002, Jiangsu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | He, Wen-ping,Zhao, Shan-shan,Wu, Qiong,et al. Simulating evaluation and projection of the climate zones over China by CMIP5 models[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:2597-2612. |
APA | He, Wen-ping,Zhao, Shan-shan,Wu, Qiong,Jiang, Yun-di,&Wan, Shiquan.(2019).Simulating evaluation and projection of the climate zones over China by CMIP5 models.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,2597-2612. |
MLA | He, Wen-ping,et al."Simulating evaluation and projection of the climate zones over China by CMIP5 models".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):2597-2612. |
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