Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.014 |
Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model | |
Wang, Delu1; Ma, Gang1; Song, Xuefeng2; Liu, Yun3 | |
2017-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 104 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; England |
英文摘要 | We employ system dynamics method towards a coal-chemical industry district economy evolution model, using coal industry, the coal-chemical industry, their downstream industries, and the manufacture-related service industry. Moreover, we construct energy price and policy response scenarios based on Ordos' management experience. The results show that the energy price slump had a negative impact on the overall economic development of the coal-chemical industry district, despite promoting non-resource industries. Furthermore, policies had different effects on the industry's output value and profit. In the long-term, developing alternative industries (AI) helps increase the industrial output value and profit. Decreasing value added tax (VAT) has immediate results and a distinctive effect on industrial short-term production value and profit, its long-term effect being limited. The effect of production limit (PL) on industrial profit is stronger than output value, and financial support (FS) is more conducive to improve the latter. However, coal mining and coal-chemical loan increases decrease the gross industrial profit level. Technology innovation (TI) has the best individual policy overall effect on production value and profits. Furthermore, the simultaneous implementation of PL, TI and AI can generate the synergy effect for each of them. And the simultaneous implementation of VAT and one or couple of other policies will generate the crowding-out effect both for VAT and other policies. |
英文关键词 | Energy price Policy response Coal-chemical industry district System dynamics Scenario analysis |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397549500032 |
WOS关键词 | SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; OIL SHOCKS ; CHINA ; RESOURCE ; SUSTAINABILITY ; IMPACT ; URBANIZATION ; TECHNOLOGY ; VOLATILITY |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18023 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.China Univ Min & Technol, Sch Management, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Management Sci & Ind Engn, Nanjing 210003, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Lancaster, Sch Management, Lancaster LA2 0PJ, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Delu,Ma, Gang,Song, Xuefeng,et al. Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,104. |
APA | Wang, Delu,Ma, Gang,Song, Xuefeng,&Liu, Yun.(2017).Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model.ENERGY POLICY,104. |
MLA | Wang, Delu,et al."Energy price slump and policy response in the coal-chemical industry district: A case study of Ordos with a system dynamics model".ENERGY POLICY 104(2017). |
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