Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.021 |
Africa energy future: Alternative scenarios and their implications for sustainable development strategies | |
Ouedraogo, Nadia S. | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 106 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Ethiopia |
英文摘要 | The long-term forecasting of energy supply and demand is of prime importance in Africa due to the steady increase in energy requirements, the non-availability of sufficient resources, the high dependence on fossil-fuels to meet these requirements, and the global concerns over the energy-induced environmental issues. This paper is concerned with modelling possible future paths for Africa's energy future and the related emissions. Future energy demand is forecasted based on socio-economic variables such as gross domestic product, income per capita, population, and urbanisation. The Long-range Energy Alternative Planning System (LEAP) modelling framework is employed to analyse and project energy demand and the related emissions under alternative strategies for the period of 2010-2040. Results of scenarios including business-as-usual (RAU) policies, moderate energy access and accelerate energy access policies, renewable energies promotion and energy efficiency policies and their environmental implications are provided. The study provides some policy insights and identifies synergies and trade-offs relating to the potential for energy policies to promote universal energy access, enable a transition to renewable energy, and mitigate climate change for a sustainable development. |
英文关键词 | Energy forecasting Energy efficiency Renewables Sustainable energy for all, carbon emission mitigation, climate change |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402343600045 |
WOS关键词 | INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES ; DEMAND ; ELECTRICITY ; UK ; CONSUMPTION ; TRENDS ; MODEL ; SEASONALITY ; SYSTEM |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18017 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | UNECA, Ave Menelik II,POB 3001, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ouedraogo, Nadia S.. Africa energy future: Alternative scenarios and their implications for sustainable development strategies[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,106. |
APA | Ouedraogo, Nadia S..(2017).Africa energy future: Alternative scenarios and their implications for sustainable development strategies.ENERGY POLICY,106. |
MLA | Ouedraogo, Nadia S.."Africa energy future: Alternative scenarios and their implications for sustainable development strategies".ENERGY POLICY 106(2017). |
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