Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13817 |
Range position and climate sensitivity: The structure of among-population demographic responses to climatic variation | |
Amburgey, Staci M.1,2; Miller, David A. W.1; Grant, Evan H. Campbell3; Rittenhouse, Tracy A. G.4; Benard, Michael F.5; Richardson, Jonathan L.6; Urban, Mark C.7; Hughson, Ward8; Brand, Adrianne B.3; Davis, Christopher J.9; Hardin, Carmen R.10; Paton, Peter W. C.11; Raithel, Christopher J.12; Relyea, Rick A.13; Scott, A. Floyd14; Skelly, David K.15; Skidds, Dennis E.16; Smith, Charles K.17; Werner, Earl E.18 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 24期号:1页码:439-454 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Canada |
英文摘要 | Species' distributions will respond to climate change based on the relationship between local demographic processes and climate and how this relationship varies based on range position. A rarely tested demographic prediction is that populations at the extremes of a species' climate envelope (e.g., populations in areas with the highest mean annual temperature) will be most sensitive to local shifts in climate (i.e., warming). We tested this prediction using a dynamic species distribution model linking demographic rates to variation in temperature and precipitation for wood frogs (Lithobates sylvaticus) in North America. Using long-term monitoring data from 746 populations in 27 study areas, we determined how climatic variation affected population growth rates and how these relationships varied with respect to long-term climate. Some models supported the predicted pattern, with negative effects of extreme summer temperatures in hotter areas and positive effects on recruitment for summer water availability in drier areas. We also found evidence of interacting temperature and precipitation influencing population size, such as extreme heat having less of a negative effect in wetter areas. Other results were contrary to predictions, such as positive effects of summer water availability in wetter parts of the range and positive responses to winter warming especially in milder areas. In general, we found wood frogs were more sensitive to changes in temperature or temperature interacting with precipitation than to changes in precipitation alone. Our results suggest that sensitivity to changes in climate cannot be predicted simply by knowing locations within the species' climate envelope. Many climate processes did not affect population growth rates in the predicted direction based on range position. Processes such as species-interactions, local adaptation, and interactions with the physical landscape likely affect the responses we observed. Our work highlights the need to measure demographic responses to changing climate. |
英文关键词 | bioclimatic envelope model climate change Lithobates sylvaticus range shifts species distribution model state-space model wood frog |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426506100064 |
WOS关键词 | PREDICTING EXTINCTION RISKS ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; WOOD FROG ; ENVELOPE MODELS ; SURVIVAL ; LIMITS ; IMPACTS ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; CONSERVATION ; CONSEQUENCES |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/17560 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Penn State Univ, Dept Ecosyst Sci & Management, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 2.Penn State Univ, Intercoll Grad Ecol Program, University Pk, PA 16802 USA; 3.SO Conte Anadromous Fish Res Ctr, USGS Patuxent Wildlife Res Ctr, Turners Falls, MA USA; 4.Univ Connecticut, Dept Nat Resources & Environm, Storrs, CT USA; 5.Case Western Reserve Univ, Dept Biol, Cleveland, OH 44106 USA; 6.Providence Coll, Dept Biol, Providence, RI 02918 USA; 7.Univ Connecticut, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Storrs, CT USA; 8.Parks Canada, Jasper, AB, Canada; 9.Univ Pittsburgh, Dept Biol Sci, Pittsburgh, PA 15260 USA; 10.Wisconsin Dept Nat Resources, Forestry Div, Madison, WI USA; 11.Univ Rhode Isl, Dept Nat Resources Sci, Kingston, RI 02881 USA; 12.Rhode Isl Dept Environm Management, Div Fish & Wildlife, W Kingston, RI USA; 13.Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Biol Sci, Troy, NY USA; 14.Austin Peay State Univ, Dept Biol, Clarksville, TN 37044 USA; 15.Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06511 USA; 16.Natl Pk Serv, Northeast Coastal & Barrier Network, Kingston, RI USA; 17.High Point Univ, Dept Biol, High Point, NC USA; 18.Univ Michigan, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Amburgey, Staci M.,Miller, David A. W.,Grant, Evan H. Campbell,et al. Range position and climate sensitivity: The structure of among-population demographic responses to climatic variation[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2018,24(1):439-454. |
APA | Amburgey, Staci M..,Miller, David A. W..,Grant, Evan H. Campbell.,Rittenhouse, Tracy A. G..,Benard, Michael F..,...&Werner, Earl E..(2018).Range position and climate sensitivity: The structure of among-population demographic responses to climatic variation.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,24(1),439-454. |
MLA | Amburgey, Staci M.,et al."Range position and climate sensitivity: The structure of among-population demographic responses to climatic variation".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 24.1(2018):439-454. |
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