Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13663 |
Potential relocation of climatic environments suggests high rates of climate displacement within the North American protection network | |
Batllori, Enric1,2; Parisien, Marc-Andre3; Parks, Sean A.4; Moritz, Max A.5; Miller, Carol4 | |
2017-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 23期号:8 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Spain; Canada; USA |
英文摘要 | Ongoing climate change may undermine the effectiveness of protected area networks in preserving the set of biotic components and ecological processes they harbor, thereby jeopardizing their conservation capacity into the future. Metrics of climate change, particularly rates and spatial patterns of climatic alteration, can help assess potential threats. Here, we perform a continent-wide climate change vulnerability assessment whereby we compare the baseline climate of the protected area network in North America (Canada, United States, Mexico-NAM) to the projected end-of-century climate (2071-2100). We estimated the projected pace at which climatic conditions may redistribute across NAM (i.e., climate velocity), and identified future nearest climate analogs to quantify patterns of climate relocation within, among, and outside protected areas. Also, we interpret climatic relocation patterns in terms of associated land-cover types. Our analysis suggests that the conservation capacity of the NAM protection network is likely to be severely compromised by a changing climate. The majority of protected areas (similar to 80%) might be exposed to high rates of climate displacement that could promote important shifts in species abundance or distribution. A small fraction of protected areas (<10%) could be critical for future conservation plans, as they will host climates that represent analogs of conditions currently characterizing almost a fifth of the protected areas across NAM. However, the majority of nearest climatic analogs for protected areas are in nonprotected locations. Therefore, unprotected landscapes could pose additional threats, beyond climate forcing itself, as sensitive biota may have to migrate farther than what is prescribed by the climate velocity to reach a protected area destination. To mitigate future threats to the conservation capacity of the NAM protected area network, conservation plans will need to capitalize on opportunities provided by the existing availability of natural land-cover types outside the current network of NAM protected areas. |
英文关键词 | climate analogs climate relocation climate velocity conservation exposure assessment global change land-cover types protection network |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404863300022 |
WOS关键词 | BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION ; RANGE SHIFTS ; VELOCITY ; FUTURE ; COMMUNITIES ; CHALLENGES ; DIVERSITY ; ANALOG ; WILL ; CONSEQUENCES |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/17119 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.CREAF Cerdanyola Valles, Barcelona, Spain; 2.CTFC, Solsona, Spain; 3.Nat Resources Canada, Northern Forestry Ctr, Canadian Forest Serv, Edmonton, AB, Canada; 4.US Forest Serv, Aldo Leopold Wilderness Res Inst, Rocky Mt Res Stn, USDA, Missoula, MT USA; 5.Univ Calif Berkeley, Div Ecosyst Sci, Dept Environm Sci Policy & Management, Berkeley, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Batllori, Enric,Parisien, Marc-Andre,Parks, Sean A.,et al. Potential relocation of climatic environments suggests high rates of climate displacement within the North American protection network[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(8). |
APA | Batllori, Enric,Parisien, Marc-Andre,Parks, Sean A.,Moritz, Max A.,&Miller, Carol.(2017).Potential relocation of climatic environments suggests high rates of climate displacement within the North American protection network.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(8). |
MLA | Batllori, Enric,et al."Potential relocation of climatic environments suggests high rates of climate displacement within the North American protection network".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.8(2017). |
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