Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13404 |
Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds | |
Wauchope, Hannah S.1; Shaw, Justine D.1; Varpe, Oystein2,3; Lappo, Elena G.4; Boertmann, David5; Lanctot, Richard B.6; Fuller, Richard A.1 | |
2017-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 23期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; Norway; Russia; Denmark; USA |
英文摘要 | Millions of birds migrate to and from the Arctic each year, but rapid climate change in the High North could strongly affect where species are able to breed, disrupting migratory connections globally. We modelled the climatically suitable breeding conditions of 24 Arctic specialist shorebirds and projected them to 2070 and to the mid-Holocene climatic optimum, the world's last major warming event similar to 6000 years ago. We show that climatically suitable breeding conditions could shift, contract and decline over the next 70 years, with 66-83% of species losing the majority of currently suitable area. This exceeds, in rate and magnitude, the impact of the mid-Holocene climatic optimum. Suitable climatic conditions are predicted to decline acutely in the most species rich region, Beringia (western Alaska and eastern Russia), and become concentrated in the Eurasian and Canadian Arctic islands. These predicted spatial shifts of breeding grounds could affect the species composition of the world's major flyways. Encouragingly, protected area coverage of current and future climatically suitable breeding conditions generally meets target levels; however, there is a lack of protected areas within the Canadian Arctic where resource exploitation is a growing threat. Given that already there are rapid declines of many populations of Arctic migratory birds, our results emphasize the urgency of mitigating climate change and protecting Arctic biodiversity. |
英文关键词 | Beringia flyway MAXENT mid-Holocene protected areas shorebirds species distribution modelling waders |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396829300012 |
WOS关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; SAMPLING BIAS ; COMPLEXITY ; MAXENT ; MODELS ; SHIFTS ; REDISTRIBUTION ; BIODIVERSITY ; POPULATIONS ; SHOREBIRDS |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/17057 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Queensland, Sch Biol Sci, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia; 2.Univ Ctr Svalbard UNIS, N-9171 Longyearbyen, Norway; 3.Fram Ctr, Akvaplan Niva, N-9296 Tromso, Norway; 4.Russian Acad Sci, Inst Geog, Staromonetny Pereulok 29, Moscow 119017, Russia; 5.Aarhus Univ, Inst Biosci, Arctic Res Ctr, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark; 6.US Fish & Wildlife Serv, Migratory Bird Management Div, Anchorage, AK USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wauchope, Hannah S.,Shaw, Justine D.,Varpe, Oystein,et al. Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(3). |
APA | Wauchope, Hannah S..,Shaw, Justine D..,Varpe, Oystein.,Lappo, Elena G..,Boertmann, David.,...&Fuller, Richard A..(2017).Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(3). |
MLA | Wauchope, Hannah S.,et al."Rapid climate-driven loss of breeding habitat for Arctic migratory birds".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.3(2017). |
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