Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13522 |
Range shifts or extinction? Ancient DNA and distribution modelling reveal past and future responses to climate warming in cold-adapted birds | |
Lagerholm, Vendela K.1,2; Sandoval-Castellanos, Edson1,2,3; Vaniscotte, Amelie4; Potapova, Olga R.5; Tomek, Teresa6; Bochenski, Zbigniew M.6; Shepherd, Paul7; Barton, Nick8; Van Dyck, Marie-Claire9; Miller, Rebecca10; Hoglund, Jacob11; Yoccoz, Nigel G.4; Dalen, Love1; Stewart, John R.12 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 23期号:4 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden; Mexico; Norway; USA; Poland; England; Belgium |
英文摘要 | Global warming is predicted to cause substantial habitat rearrangements, with the most severe effects expected to occur in high-latitude biomes. However, one major uncertainty is whether species will be able to shift their ranges to keep pace with climate-driven environmental changes. Many recent studies on mammals have shown that past range contractions have been associated with local extinctions rather than survival by habitat tracking. Here, we have used an interdisciplinary approach that combines ancient DNA techniques, coalescent simulations and species distribution modelling, to investigate how two common cold-adapted bird species, willow and rock ptarmigan (Lagopus lagopus and Lagopus muta), respond to long-term climate warming. Contrary to previous findings in mammals, we demonstrate a genetic continuity in Europe over the last 20 millennia. Results from back-casted species distribution models suggest that this continuity may have been facilitated by uninterrupted habitat availability and potentially also the greater dispersal ability of birds. However, our predictions show that in the near future, some isolated regions will have little suitable habitat left, implying a future decrease in local populations at a scale unprecedented since the last glacial maximum. |
英文关键词 | approximate Bayesian computation climate change colonization extinction Lagopus palaeogenetics phylogeography Pleistocene species distribution modelling |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396836800006 |
WOS关键词 | ARCTIC AMPLIFICATION ; WILLOW GROUSE ; EVOLUTION ; PHYLOGEOGRAPHY ; COLONIZATION ; SPECIATION ; PTARMIGAN ; SEQUENCES ; DYNAMICS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16780 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Swedish Museum Nat Hist, Dept Bioinformat & Genet, Stockholm, Sweden; 2.Stockholm Univ, Dept Zool, Stockholm, Sweden; 3.Univ Nacl Autonoma Mexico, Ctr Ciencias Complejidad, Ciudad De Mexico, Mexico; 4.UiT Arctic Univ Norway, Dept Arctic & Marine Biol, Tromso, Norway; 5.SD Inc, Mammoth Site Hot Springs, Hot Springs, NC USA; 6.Polish Acad Sci, Inst Systemat & Evolut Anim, Krakow, Poland; 7.British Geol Survey, Nottingham, England; 8.Univ Oxford, Inst Archaeol, Oxford, England; 9.Catholic Univ Louvain, Inst Anal Change Contemporary & Hist Soc, Louvain La Neuve, Belgium; 10.Univ Liege, Serv Prehist, Liege, Belgium; 11.Uppsala Univ, Evolutionary Biol Ctr, Dept Ecol & Genet, Uppsala, Sweden; 12.Bournemouth Univ, Sch Appl Sci, Dorset House,Talbot Campus, Poole, Dorset, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lagerholm, Vendela K.,Sandoval-Castellanos, Edson,Vaniscotte, Amelie,et al. Range shifts or extinction? Ancient DNA and distribution modelling reveal past and future responses to climate warming in cold-adapted birds[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(4). |
APA | Lagerholm, Vendela K..,Sandoval-Castellanos, Edson.,Vaniscotte, Amelie.,Potapova, Olga R..,Tomek, Teresa.,...&Stewart, John R..(2017).Range shifts or extinction? Ancient DNA and distribution modelling reveal past and future responses to climate warming in cold-adapted birds.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(4). |
MLA | Lagerholm, Vendela K.,et al."Range shifts or extinction? Ancient DNA and distribution modelling reveal past and future responses to climate warming in cold-adapted birds".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.4(2017). |
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