Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.03.003 |
Assessing Impacts From Climate Change on Local Social-ecological Systems in Contexts Where Information is Lacking: An Expert Elicitation in the Bolivian Altiplano | |
Martinez-Cruz, Adan L.1,3; Juarez-Torres, Miriam2; Guerrero, Santiago2,4,5 | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS |
ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 137 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Mexico; Switzerland; Uruguay |
英文摘要 | Assessment of the expected impacts from climate change is an essential input for agencies engaged in fostering adaptation of local social-ecological systems. However, data is seldom available at the required scale. This study overcomes this hurdle by gathering data via an expert elicitation protocol. We report experts' judgements about two topics: i) the impacts from climate change on crop yields in three communities located in the Bolivian Altiplano; and ii) the effectiveness of specific irrigation techniques in mitigating the impacts from climate change in the communities under study. Our gathered data allow us to document heterogeneity of expected impacts across communities with one community expected to experience an increase in yields under wet climate change scenarios. Experts judge irrigation as an effective mitigation tool under most of the dry climate change scenarios presented to them. We believe that our data collection strategy represents a promising decision support tool for a wide range of public policy issues. Particularly, when monetary and time constraints converge with the lack of scientific information. In addition, the information gathered with this methodology can be incorporated into participatory methodologies gathering information from local social-ecological systems. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Expert elicitation Expected impact Climate change Irrigation Local social-ecological systems Double-bounded dichotomous question Bolivia |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000400532400008 |
WOS关键词 | DELPHI METHOD ; JUDGMENT ; OPINION ; SUPPORT ; SCIENCE ; OPTIONS ; COSTS |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16034 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.CIDE, Dept Econ, Circuito Tecnopolo Norte 117, Aguascalientes 20313, Ags, Mexico; 2.Banco Mexico, Ave Cinco Mayo 18, Mexico City 06059, DF, Mexico; 3.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, CEPE, ZUE E8,Zurichbergstr 18, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland; 4.DINAMA, Galicia 1133, Montevideo 11100, Uruguay; 5.CINVE, Ave Uruguay 124, Montevideo 11100, Uruguay |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Martinez-Cruz, Adan L.,Juarez-Torres, Miriam,Guerrero, Santiago. Assessing Impacts From Climate Change on Local Social-ecological Systems in Contexts Where Information is Lacking: An Expert Elicitation in the Bolivian Altiplano[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2017,137. |
APA | Martinez-Cruz, Adan L.,Juarez-Torres, Miriam,&Guerrero, Santiago.(2017).Assessing Impacts From Climate Change on Local Social-ecological Systems in Contexts Where Information is Lacking: An Expert Elicitation in the Bolivian Altiplano.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,137. |
MLA | Martinez-Cruz, Adan L.,et al."Assessing Impacts From Climate Change on Local Social-ecological Systems in Contexts Where Information is Lacking: An Expert Elicitation in the Bolivian Altiplano".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 137(2017). |
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