Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.11.003 |
Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse: A Hypothetical Look at Easter Island | |
Roman, Sabin1,2; Bullock, Seth3; Brede, Markus1,2 | |
2017-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
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ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 132 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Inspired by the challenges of environmental change and the resource limitations experienced by modern society, recent decades have seen an increased interest in understanding the collapse of past societies. Modelling efforts so far have focused on single, isolated societies, while multi-patch dynamical models representing networks of coupled socio-environmental systems have received limited attention. We propose a model of societal evolution that describes the dynamics of a population that harvests renewable resources and manufactures products that have positive effects on population growth. Collapse is driven by a critical transition that occurs when the rate of natural resource extraction passes beyond a certain point, for which we present numerical and analytical results. Applying the model to Easter Island gives a good fit to the archaeological record. Subsequently, we investigate what effects emerge from the movement of people, goods, and resources between two societies that share the characteristics of Easter Island. We analyse how diffusive coupling and wealth-driven coupling change the population levels and their distribution across the two societies compared to non-interacting societies. We find that the region of parameter space in which societies can stably survive in the long-term is significantly enlarged when coupling occurs in both social and environmental variables. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
英文关键词 | Sustainability Collapse Dynamical system Easter Island Critical transition Coupled systems |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000390825200025 |
WOS关键词 | POPULATION ; DYNAMICS ; RESOURCES ; LIMITS ; MODEL ; SUSTAINABILITY ; INSTITUTIONS ; EVOLUTION ; GROWTH ; SPACE |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/15896 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Southampton, Inst Complex Syst Simulat, Southampton SO9 5NH, Hants, England; 2.Univ Southampton, Sch Elect & Comp Sci, Agents Interact & Complex Grp, Southampton SO9 5NH, Hants, England; 3.Univ Bristol, Dept Comp Sci, Bristol BS8 1TH, Avon, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Roman, Sabin,Bullock, Seth,Brede, Markus. Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse: A Hypothetical Look at Easter Island[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2017,132. |
APA | Roman, Sabin,Bullock, Seth,&Brede, Markus.(2017).Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse: A Hypothetical Look at Easter Island.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,132. |
MLA | Roman, Sabin,et al."Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse: A Hypothetical Look at Easter Island".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 132(2017). |
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