Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaaad1 |
The impact of land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status on fire probability in California | |
Starrs, Carlin Frances; Butsic, Van; Stephens, Connor; Stewart, William | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The extent of wildfires in the western United States is increasing, but how land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status influence fire probability is unclear. California serves as a unique natural experiment to estimate the impact of these factors, as ownership is split equally between federal and non-federal landowners; there is a relatively large proportion of reserved lands where extractive uses are prohibited and fire suppression is limited; and land ownership and firefighting responsibility are purposefully not always aligned. Panel Poisson regression techniques and pre-regression matching were used to model changes in annual fire probability from 1950-2015 on reserve and non-reserve lands on federal and non-federal ownerships across four vegetation types: forests, rangelands, shrublands, and forests without commercial species. Fire probability was found to have increased over time across all 32 categories. A marginal effects analysis showed that federal ownership and firefighting was associated with increased fire probability, and that the difference in fire probability on federal versus non-federal lands is increasing over time. Ownership, firefighting, and reserve status, played roughly equal roles in determining fire probability, and were found to have much greater influence than average maximum temperature (degrees C) during summer months (June, July, August), average annual precipitation (cm), and average annual topsoil moisture content by volume, demonstrating the critical role these factors play in western fire regimes and the importance of including them in future analysis focused on understanding and predicting wildfire in the Western United States. |
英文关键词 | wildfire matching statistics GIS panel data forest management rangeland management |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000426518100001 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SPATIAL-PATTERNS ; SIERRA-NEVADA ; FOREST-FIRE ; WILDFIRE ; SEVERITY ; SUPPRESSION ; TRENDS ; MILLENNIUM ; EMISSIONS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/15031 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Environm Sci Policy & Management, 130 Mulford Hall 3114, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Starrs, Carlin Frances,Butsic, Van,Stephens, Connor,et al. The impact of land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status on fire probability in California[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(3). |
APA | Starrs, Carlin Frances,Butsic, Van,Stephens, Connor,&Stewart, William.(2018).The impact of land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status on fire probability in California.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(3). |
MLA | Starrs, Carlin Frances,et al."The impact of land ownership, firefighting, and reserve status on fire probability in California".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.3(2018). |
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