Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aac4f1 |
Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals | |
Kriegler, Elmar1; Bertram, Christoph1; Kuramochi, Takeshi2,3; Jakob, Michael4; Pehl, Michaja1; Stevanovic, Miodrag1; Hoehne, Niklas2,5; Luderer, Gunnar1; Minx, Jan C.4,6; Fekete, Hanna2; Hilaire, Jerome1,4; Luna, Lisa2; Popp, Alexander1; Steckel, Jan Christoph1,4,7; Sterl, Sebastian2,8,9; Yalew, AmsaluWoldie1; Dietrich, Jan Philipp1; Edenhofer, Ottmar1,4,7 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:7 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; Netherlands; Belgium |
英文摘要 | Climate policy needs to account for political and social acceptance. Current national climate policy plans proposed under the Paris Agreement lead to higher emissions until 2030 than cost-effective pathways towards the Agreements' long-term temperature goals would imply. Therefore, the current plans would require highly disruptive changes, prohibitive transition speeds, and large long-term deployment of risky mitigation measures for achieving the agreement's temperature goals after 2030. Since the prospects of introducing the cost-effective policy instrument, a global comprehensive carbon price in the near-term, are negligible, we study how a strengthening of existing plans by a global roll-out of regional policies can ease the implementation challenge of reaching the Paris temperature goals. The regional policies comprise a bundle of regulatory policies in energy supply, transport, buildings, industry, and land use and moderate, regionally differentiated carbon pricing. We find that a global roll-out of these policies could reduce global CO2 emissions by an additional 10 GtCO(2)eq in 2030 compared to current plans. It would lead to emissions pathways close to the levels of cost-effective likely below 2 degrees C scenarios until 2030, thereby reducing implementation challenges post 2030. Even though a gradual phase-in of a portfolio of regulatory policies might be less disruptive than immediate cost-effective carbon pricing, it would perform worse in other dimensions. In particular, it leads to higher economic impacts that could become major obstacles in the long-term. Hence, such policy packages should not be viewed as alternatives to carbon pricing, but rather as complements that provide entry points to achieve the Paris climate goals. |
英文关键词 | mitigation pathway integrated assessment regulatory policies carbon pricing political implementability Paris Agreement 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C temperature limits |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000437865400001 |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY SYSTEM ; LAND ; GROWTH |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/14950 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, POB 601203, D-14412 Potsdam, Germany; 2.NewClimate Inst, Hof 20-26, D-50667 Cologne, Germany; 3.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Princetonlaan 8a, NL-3584CB Utrecht, Netherlands; 4.Mercator Res Inst Global Commons & Climate Change, Torgauer Str 12-15, D-10829 Berlin, Germany; 5.Wageningen Univ, Environm Syst Anal Grp, POB 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands; 6.Hertie Sch Governance, Friedrichstr 180, D-10117 Berlin, Germany; 7.Tech Univ Berlin, Econ Climate Change Dept, Str 17 Juni 145, D-10623 Berlin, Germany; 8.Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium; 9.Katholieke Univ Leuven, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kriegler, Elmar,Bertram, Christoph,Kuramochi, Takeshi,et al. Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(7). |
APA | Kriegler, Elmar.,Bertram, Christoph.,Kuramochi, Takeshi.,Jakob, Michael.,Pehl, Michaja.,...&Edenhofer, Ottmar.(2018).Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(7). |
MLA | Kriegler, Elmar,et al."Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.7(2018). |
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