GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cfc
Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies
Ripberger, Joseph T.1,2,3; Jenkins-Smith, Hank C.1,2,3; Silva, Carol L.1,2,3; Carlson, Deven E.1,2,3; Gupta, Kuhika1,2; Carlson, Nina1,2; Dunlap, Riley E.4
2017-11-01
发表期刊ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN1748-9326
出版年2017
卷号12期号:11
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

In complex systems where humans and nature interact to produce joint outcomes, mitigation, adaptation, and resilience require that humans perceive feedback-signals of health and distress-from natural systems. In many instances, humans readily perceive feedback. In others, feedback is more difficult to perceive, so humans rely on experts, heuristics, biases, and/or identify confirming rationalities that may distort perceptions of feedback. This study explores human perception of feedback from natural systems by testing alternate conceptions about how individuals perceive climate anomalies, a form of feedback from the climate system. Results indicate that individuals generally perceive climate anomalies, especially when the anomalies are relatively extreme and persistent. Moreover, this finding is largely robust to political differences that generate predictable but small biases in feedback perception at extreme ends of the partisan spectrum. The subtlety of these biases bodes well for mitigation, adaptation, and resilience as human systems continue to interact with a changing climate system.


英文关键词climate change human perception motivated reasoning
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000414067700001
WOS关键词TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES ; PERSONAL-EXPERIENCE ; LOCAL WEATHER ; POLARIZATION ; OPINIONS ; SCALES ; BELIEF ; WINTER ; HOT
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/14931
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Oklahoma, Ctr Risk & Crisis Management, Norman, OK 73019 USA;
2.Univ Oklahoma, Natl Inst Risk & Resilience, Norman, OK 73019 USA;
3.Univ Oklahoma, Dept Polit Sci, Norman, OK 73019 USA;
4.Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Sociol, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ripberger, Joseph T.,Jenkins-Smith, Hank C.,Silva, Carol L.,et al. Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,12(11).
APA Ripberger, Joseph T..,Jenkins-Smith, Hank C..,Silva, Carol L..,Carlson, Deven E..,Gupta, Kuhika.,...&Dunlap, Riley E..(2017).Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,12(11).
MLA Ripberger, Joseph T.,et al."Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 12.11(2017).
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