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DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cfc |
Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies | |
Ripberger, Joseph T.1,2,3; Jenkins-Smith, Hank C.1,2,3; Silva, Carol L.1,2,3; Carlson, Deven E.1,2,3; Gupta, Kuhika1,2; Carlson, Nina1,2; Dunlap, Riley E.4 | |
2017-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 12期号:11 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | In complex systems where humans and nature interact to produce joint outcomes, mitigation, adaptation, and resilience require that humans perceive feedback-signals of health and distress-from natural systems. In many instances, humans readily perceive feedback. In others, feedback is more difficult to perceive, so humans rely on experts, heuristics, biases, and/or identify confirming rationalities that may distort perceptions of feedback. This study explores human perception of feedback from natural systems by testing alternate conceptions about how individuals perceive climate anomalies, a form of feedback from the climate system. Results indicate that individuals generally perceive climate anomalies, especially when the anomalies are relatively extreme and persistent. Moreover, this finding is largely robust to political differences that generate predictable but small biases in feedback perception at extreme ends of the partisan spectrum. The subtlety of these biases bodes well for mitigation, adaptation, and resilience as human systems continue to interact with a changing climate system. |
英文关键词 | climate change human perception motivated reasoning |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000414067700001 |
WOS关键词 | TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES ; PERSONAL-EXPERIENCE ; LOCAL WEATHER ; POLARIZATION ; OPINIONS ; SCALES ; BELIEF ; WINTER ; HOT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/14931 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Oklahoma, Ctr Risk & Crisis Management, Norman, OK 73019 USA; 2.Univ Oklahoma, Natl Inst Risk & Resilience, Norman, OK 73019 USA; 3.Univ Oklahoma, Dept Polit Sci, Norman, OK 73019 USA; 4.Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Sociol, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ripberger, Joseph T.,Jenkins-Smith, Hank C.,Silva, Carol L.,et al. Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,12(11). |
APA | Ripberger, Joseph T..,Jenkins-Smith, Hank C..,Silva, Carol L..,Carlson, Deven E..,Gupta, Kuhika.,...&Dunlap, Riley E..(2017).Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,12(11). |
MLA | Ripberger, Joseph T.,et al."Bayesian versus politically motivated reasoning in human perception of climate anomalies".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 12.11(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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