Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaaacc |
Gap models and their individual-based relatives in the assessment of the consequences of global change | |
Shugart, Herman H.1; Wang, Bin1; Fischer, Rico2; Ma, Jianyong3; Fang, Jing4; Yan, Xiaodong4; Huth, Andreas2; Armstrong, Amanda H.1 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:3 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Germany; Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | Individual-based models (IBMs) of complex systems emerged in the 1960s and early 1970s, across diverse disciplines from astronomy to zoology. Ecological IBMs arose with seemingly independent origins out of the tradition of understanding the ecosystems dynamics of ecosystems from a 'bottom-up' accounting of the interactions of the parts. Individual trees are principal among the parts of forests. Because these models are computationally demanding, they have prospered as the power of digital computers has increased exponentially over the decades following the 1970s. This review will focus on a class of forest IBMs called gap models. Gap models simulate the changes in forests by simulating the birth, growth and death of each individual tree on a small plot of land. The summation of these plots comprise a forest (or set of sample plots on a forested landscape or region). Other, more aggregated forest IBMs have been used in global applications including cohort-based models, ecosystem demography models, etc. Gap models have been used to provide the parameters for these bulk models. Currently, gap models have grown from local-scale to continental-scale and even global-scale applications to assess the potential consequences of climate change on natural forests. Modifications to the models have enabled simulation of disturbances including fire, insect outbreak and harvest. Our objective in this review is to provide the reader with an overview of the history, motivation and applications, including theoretical applications, of these models. In a time of concern over global changes, gap models are essential tools to understand forest responses to climate change, modified disturbance regimes and other change agents. Development of forest surveys to provide the starting points for simulations and better estimates of the behavior of the diversity of tree species in response to the environment are continuing needs for improvement for these and other IBMs. |
英文关键词 | simulation gap models individual-based models (IBMs) forests global change landscape models |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425835300001 |
WOS关键词 | NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; TROPICAL FOREST DYNAMICS ; SIMULATION-MODEL ; RAIN-FOREST ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATE FORESTS ; VEGETATION MODEL ; NORTH-AMERICA ; CARBON ; ECOSYSTEM |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/14856 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Clark Hall, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA; 2.Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Ecol Modelling, Leipzig, Germany; 3.Huazhong Agr Univ, Coll Plant Sci & Technol, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China; 4.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Syst Proc & Resource Ecol ESP, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shugart, Herman H.,Wang, Bin,Fischer, Rico,et al. Gap models and their individual-based relatives in the assessment of the consequences of global change[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(3). |
APA | Shugart, Herman H..,Wang, Bin.,Fischer, Rico.,Ma, Jianyong.,Fang, Jing.,...&Armstrong, Amanda H..(2018).Gap models and their individual-based relatives in the assessment of the consequences of global change.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(3). |
MLA | Shugart, Herman H.,et al."Gap models and their individual-based relatives in the assessment of the consequences of global change".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.3(2018). |
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